Previously on Strategy Core

The Story So Far

Strategy is not a checklist; it's a narrative. We built the foundation internally (S1-S4). Now, we face the external reality.

1
"Is Strategy a Plan or a Pattern?"

We learned that Operational Effectiveness is NOT Strategy. Strategy is about being unique. It is both a deliberate plan (Porter) and an emergent pattern (Mintzberg).

"Can you be everything to everyone?"

Tesla Case. We discovered the power of Trade-offs. Strategy is choosing what not to do. Serving every customer means serving none efficiently.

2
3
"Who holds the pen?"

Strategy doesn't happen by accident; it requires a Chief Strategy Officer to align the organization, manage stakeholders, and close the "Say-Do" gap.

"Does profit have a soul?"

Purpose & Values. The "Why" fuels the "How". A strategy without purpose is just a spreadsheet. Values provide the guardrails for decision-making.

4
ENTERING THE BATTLEFIELD

We have the Plan, the Choice, the Architect, and the Soul.

But a strategy does not exist in a vacuum. It lives in a hostile environment.
Welcome to Session 5: Industry Structure.

Fundamental Question

Why is it harder to make money in Aviation than in Software?

Is it because airline CEOs are less smart than software CEOs? Of course not. The answer lies not in who is competing, but in the battlefield itself.

The Profitability Spectrum: Average ROIC by Industry

Data Source
US LTM 2025
Top Performers

Asset-light industries such as Software (50.17%) and Tobacco (68.11%) consistently show the highest average ROIC. They require less capital investment to generate massive revenue.

Bottom Performers

Capital-intensive sectors like Air Transport (6.56%), Auto (2.62%), and Coal (-34.87%) report significantly lower or negative ROIC due to high fixed costs and intense rivalry.

Value of Comparison

Comparing a company's ROIC against its industry average provides context. A ROIC above 10-15% is generally strong, but this benchmark must be viewed relative to the specific sector's dynamics.

Deconstructing Competition

The 5 Forces Model

Click any force to reveal its fundamental question and modern application.

🏰

Threat of New Entrants

How high are the walls?

⚔️

Rivalry Among Competitors

The center of the storm

🎭

Threat of Substitutes

The hidden enemy

💎

Power of Suppliers

Who owns the magic?

🛒

Power of Buyers

Who pays the bill?

Select a force above to analyze the battlefield.

The "So What?" for 2025

Reshaping the Battlefield

Your job is not just to beat rivals. It's to understand the structure, find a profitable position, and reshape that structure.

The Cross of Competition

💎
Vertical Suppliers
🏰
Horizontal New Entrants
⚔️
Rivalry
🎭
Horizontal Substitutes
🛒
Vertical Buyers

1. Position Your Company

Find a 'foxhole' where the forces are weakest.

Example: Paccar. In the brutal truck industry, Paccar avoids powerful fleets. It targets individual owner-operators (less price-sensitive, emotional tie) with luxury custom trucks at a 10% premium.

2. Exploit Industry Change

Wait for a force to shift, then exploit the chaos.

Example: Apple. Illegal file-sharing (Napster) destroyed music labels (Suppliers). Apple stepped into this vacuum with iTunes, becoming the new, powerful gatekeeper.

3. Shape Industry Structure

Don't just play the game; change the rules. (The Master Class).

Warning: IBM (Dark Side). IBM created an 'open architecture' for PCs. It won the battle for growth but ceded power to suppliers (Microsoft/Intel), dooming itself to a profitless war.
Case Study 2024

The Trillion Dollar Question: Nvidia

In 2024, Nvidia briefly became the world's most valuable company. Everyone wants their H100 chips.

Jensen Huang isn't just selling chips; he's managing a delicate ecosystem. But how long can this fortress hold against the Five Forces?

Supplier Power: The Bottleneck

"If Nvidia is the king, why is TSMC the emperor?"

Nvidia designs the chips, but TSMC manufactures them. Nvidia cannot switch suppliers easily (High Switching Costs). If TSMC raises prices, Nvidia must pay. However, Nvidia also holds power over its buyers (Microsoft, Google) because there is no viable alternative yet.

Substitutes: Frenemies

"Are Google and Amazon friends or enemies?"

Nvidia's biggest customers are building their own AI chips (Google TPU, AWS Trainium). This is the Threat of Substitutes. The moment their internal chips become "good enough," Nvidia's moat shrinks.

Emerging Markets

The Indian Battlefield

Blinkit vs. Zepto vs. Swiggy

Force in Action: Rivalry. This is a classic "War of Attrition". Low switching costs for buyers (you have all 3 apps). High fixed costs (dark stores). Perishable inventory.

Trigger Question

"Is 10-minute delivery a 'feature' or a 'trap'? If everyone offers it, does anyone make money?"

Paytm & The Regulator

Force in Action: Barriers to Entry (Government). We often forget Government is a major factor in the 5 Forces (influencing entry and rivalry). The RBI's actions on Paytm Payments Bank showed that regulatory barriers can be the ultimate "Force".

Trigger Question

"Can you build a strategy on a foundation you don't control?"

Classroom Activity

Group Breakout: Deconstructing Tesla

Apply the 5 Forces framework to the automotive disruptor.

Group 1 New Entrants

  • Before Tesla, how high were the barriers to entry?
  • How did Tesla manage to overcome these barriers?
  • Has Tesla's entry made it easier or harder for others?

Group 2 Power of Buyers

  • Describe the typical car buyer's power.
  • How has Tesla's direct-to-consumer model affected this?
  • Consider individual vs. fleet buyers (e.g., Hertz).

Group 3 Suppliers

  • How powerful are traditional auto suppliers?
  • Analyze Tesla's vertical integration strategy.
  • What are the risks and benefits of this strategy?

Group 4 Substitutes

  • What are the primary substitutes for owning a car?
  • How does ride-sharing affect the industry?
  • How does Tesla's 'Master Plan, Part Deux' address this?

Group 5 Rivalry

  • Describe rivalry in the traditional auto industry.
  • How has Tesla changed the basis of competition?
  • Who are Tesla's most significant rivals today?

Bonus Complementors

  • What are key complementors for Tesla?
  • How has Tesla used its Supercharger network strategically?
  • How do government incentives act as a complement?
Check Your Understanding

The Strategist's Challenge